Stephen F. Austin
WAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#64
+0.0 pts · likely #32–98
Strength of schedule
39.1
#20 of 130
Strength of victory
38.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.688
Opp. 87.5% · Opp. opp. 31.4%
Remaining SOS
30.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Jacksonville State | L 17-42 | +10.6 | 0.0 | 0.543 | 1 | −13.1 |
| 1 | at Alcorn State | W 31-27 | +5.0 | +1.9 | 0.443 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 5 | vs (N) Sam Houston | L 16-17 | −0.7 | 0.0 | 0.255 | 2 | −1.2 |
| 6 | vs Abilene Christian | W 41-38 | +4.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Tarleton State · p 0.318
- Wk 8: at Southern Utah · p 0.428
- Wk 9: vs Utah Tech · p 0.104
- Wk 11: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.295
- Wk 12: at Abilene Christian · p 0.396
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Louisiana TechFBS · L 17-52
- Wk 4: vs WarnerNon-NCAA · W 98-0