Jacksonville State
ASUN · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 25% of the time
Power
#7
+11.9 pts · likely #3–35
Strength of schedule
23.5
#102 of 130
Strength of victory
23.5
#27
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 65.8%
Remaining SOS
36.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Jacksonville State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Stephen F. Austin | W 42-17 | +2.7 | 0.0 | 0.334 | 2 | +25.0 |
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 35-17 | +6.1 | −1.9 | 0.373 | 2 | +20.8 |
| 2 | at Murray State | W 34-3 | −13.3 | +1.9 | 0.083 | 4 | +18.6 |
| 4 | at Nicholls State | W 52-21 | −4.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs (N) North Alabama · p 0.163
- Wk 8: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.454
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.476
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.334
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.389
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 17-54