Davidson
Pioneer · 2-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#37
+4.7 pts · likely #15–75
Strength of schedule
27.8
#72 of 130
Strength of victory
15.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
17.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Davidson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Jacksonville State | L 17-35 | +11.4 | +1.9 | 0.616 | 1 | −4.2 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 56-24 | −15.9 | +1.9 | 0.059 | 4 | +16.8 |
| 5 | vs Butler | W 31-0 | +0.8 | −1.9 | 0.247 | 3 | +25.1 |
| 6 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 16-27 | −5.8 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Morehead State · p 0.062
- Wk 8: at Drake · p 0.070
- Wk 10: vs Stetson · p 0.086
- Wk 11: at San Diego · p 0.184
- Wk 12: vs Dayton · p 0.055
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.603
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Barton CollegeDII · W 37-17
- Wk 3: vs St. AndrewsNon-NCAA · W 56-6