Murray State
OVC · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-6 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#128
−14.2 pts · likely #102–129
Strength of schedule
38.2
#22 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 68.8% · Opp. opp. 37.7%
Remaining SOS
31.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +11.8 | −1.9 | 0.526 | 1 | −21.0 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −7.0 | −1.9 | 0.113 | 3 | −20.8 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 14-48 | +7.3 | +1.9 | 0.506 | 1 | −23.6 |
| 6 | vs UT Martin | L 16-45 | +6.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Austin Peay · p 0.476
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.221
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee State · p 0.283
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.035
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.559
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31