Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#95
−4.9 pts · likely #56–118
Strength of schedule
25.2
#90 of 130
Strength of victory
8.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
31.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Chattanooga | L 20-38 | +10.7 | −1.9 | 0.496 | 2 | −9.1 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 7-35 | +1.4 | +1.9 | 0.350 | 2 | −21.3 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 35-21 | −13.0 | +1.9 | 0.086 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 6 | vs Northwestern State | W 35-27 | −10.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Lindenwood · p 0.153
- Wk 8: at Tennessee State · p 0.375
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.200
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.187
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.457
- Wk 12: at UT Martin · p 0.526
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 27-34