Nicholls State
Southland · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#103
−7.0 pts · likely #67–121
Strength of schedule
35.6
#30 of 130
Strength of victory
30.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.613
Opp. 72.9% · Opp. opp. 38.1%
Remaining SOS
31.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 16-42 | +7.9 | +1.9 | 0.521 | 1 | −15.0 |
| 4 | vs Jacksonville State | L 21-52 | +10.5 | −1.9 | 0.489 | 2 | −21.0 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | L 33-36 | −11.2 | +1.9 | 0.106 | 3 | −10.6 |
| 6 | at Houston Christian | W 19-17 | −0.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.619
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.126
- Wk 9: at Lamar · p 0.134
- Wk 11: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.251
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.454
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 7-48
- Wk 2: at UL MonroeFBS · L 7-35