Houston Christian
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.5 pts · likely #45–110
Strength of schedule
15.0
#126 of 130
Strength of victory
18.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.337
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
34.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Houston Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Colorado | W 46-34 | −2.9 | +1.9 | 0.250 | 3 | +9.0 |
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | L 20-21 | −5.3 | −1.9 | 0.136 | 3 | −6.9 |
| 5 | at Lamar | W 37-34 | −9.5 | +1.9 | 0.129 | 3 | −4.2 |
| 6 | vs Nicholls State | L 17-19 | −9.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Northwestern State · p 0.074
- Wk 8: at East Texas A&M · p 0.339
- Wk 9: vs UT Martin · p 0.424
- Wk 10: at Incarnate Word · p 0.712
- Wk 11: vs McNeese · p 0.126
- Wk 12: at Tarleton State · p 0.414
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 0-34