Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#94
−4.9 pts · likely #56–115
Strength of schedule
30.7
#57 of 130
Strength of victory
14.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 39.0%
Remaining SOS
32.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Houston Christian | L 34-46 | −4.7 | −1.9 | 0.144 | 3 | −16.4 |
| 3 | at Lamar | W 21-14 | −8.3 | +1.9 | 0.147 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | W 35-14 | −5.0 | −1.9 | 0.141 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 5 | at Idaho | L 35-55 | +6.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Montana State · p 0.529
- Wk 8: vs UC Davis · p 0.361
- Wk 10: at Portland State · p 0.227
- Wk 11: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.173
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.333
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 10-33