Sacramento State
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#4
+14.2 pts · likely #2–30
Strength of schedule
23.6
#100 of 130
Strength of victory
23.6
#26
Record SOS
0.406
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 55.1%
Remaining SOS
45.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 56-33 | −7.9 | −1.9 | 0.101 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 3 | at Northern Iowa | W 37-21 | +5.5 | +1.9 | 0.458 | 2 | +21.8 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 49-21 | −5.2 | +1.9 | 0.201 | 3 | +23.1 |
| 6 | vs Northern Colorado | W 55-7 | −2.3 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Eastern Washington · p 0.333
- Wk 8: vs Montana · p 0.590
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.425
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.609
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.227
- Wk 12: vs UC Davis · p 0.361
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.502
- Wk 15: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Colorado StateFBS · W 41-10