Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#95
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#102
−6.8 pts · likely #66–121
Strength of schedule
28.8
#66 of 130
Strength of victory
12.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.419
Opp. 39.6% · Opp. opp. 46.7%
Remaining SOS
37.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −6.2 | −1.9 | 0.124 | 3 | −6.4 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −4.2 | +1.9 | 0.222 | 3 | −17.6 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-49 | +12.5 | −1.9 | 0.545 | 1 | −15.7 |
| 6 | at Northern Arizona | L 29-31 | −2.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Idaho State · p 0.145
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.245
- Wk 9: at UC Davis · p 0.461
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.686
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.529
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.157
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35