San Diego
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#99
−5.5 pts · likely #59–118
Strength of schedule
21.6
#108 of 130
Strength of victory
7.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.222
Opp. 8.3% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
17.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Cal Poly | L 27-28 | −7.1 | +1.9 | 0.167 | 3 | −5.9 |
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 13-43 | +2.0 | +1.9 | 0.365 | 2 | −23.1 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | L 21-28 | −2.7 | +1.9 | 0.252 | 2 | −7.0 |
| 6 | at Drake | W 22-10 | −13.6 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.025
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.277
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.145
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.330
- Wk 12: at Morehead State · p 0.100
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs La VerneDIII · W 58-0