Tarleton State
WAC · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#41
+3.9 pts · likely #16–85
Strength of schedule
24.0
#98 of 130
Strength of victory
24.0
#24
Record SOS
0.378
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 63.3%
Remaining SOS
23.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 29-13 | −15.2 | −1.9 | 0.038 | 4 | +0.0 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 43-28 | −3.7 | +1.9 | 0.231 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 6 | at Southern Utah | W 42-40 | +5.3 | +1.9 | 0.451 | 2 | +7.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.314
- Wk 9: vs Sam Houston · p 0.223
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.301
- Wk 11: at Utah Tech · p 0.158
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.186
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 17-59
- Wk 3: vs Eastern New MexicoDII · W 41-6