Central Arkansas
ASUN · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#47
+3.1 pts · likely #22–79
Strength of schedule
30.7
#59 of 130
Strength of victory
34.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.545
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 60.1%
Remaining SOS
34.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | −3.7 | −1.9 | 0.162 | 3 | −16.0 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −7.3 | +1.9 | 0.165 | 3 | +8.5 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 27-35 | +9.3 | +1.9 | 0.560 | 1 | +3.0 |
| 5 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-20 | +12.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Kennesaw State · p 0.309
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.134
- Wk 10: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.431
- Wk 11: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.314
- Wk 12: vs Jacksonville State · p 0.554
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59