Missouri State
MVFC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#69
−1.1 pts · likely #40–102
Strength of schedule
41.4
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
48.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.666
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 49.7%
Remaining SOS
26.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 27-14 | +6.3 | +1.9 | 0.480 | 2 | +17.9 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 35-30 | +10.2 | −1.9 | 0.482 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota State | L 14-28 | +10.1 | −1.9 | 0.478 | 2 | −5.3 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 31-48 | +1.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.420
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.086
- Wk 10: at South Dakota · p 0.269
- Wk 11: vs Youngstown State · p 0.331
- Wk 12: at Indiana State · p 0.233
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArkansasFBS · L 27-38