North Dakota
MVFC · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 45% of the time
Power
#48
+3.0 pts · likely #21–79
Strength of schedule
34.0
#42 of 130
Strength of victory
32.9
#4
Record SOS
0.580
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 67.4%
Remaining SOS
41.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Northern Iowa | W 29-27 | +4.3 | −1.9 | 0.328 | 2 | +4.1 |
| 3 | at Northern Arizona | W 27-24 | −3.3 | +1.9 | 0.241 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 4 | at Southern Illinois | L 17-34 | +2.6 | +1.9 | 0.381 | 2 | −9.7 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 48-31 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.503
- Wk 9: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.301
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.233
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota · p 0.191
- Wk 12: at North Dakota State · p 0.632
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.609
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NebraskaFBS · L 17-38