South Dakota State
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 25% of the time
Power
#13
+10.6 pts · likely #4–42
Strength of schedule
23.7
#99 of 130
Strength of victory
23.7
#25
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 74.2%
Remaining SOS
46.6
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs UC Davis | W 24-22 | +4.5 | −1.9 | 0.332 | 2 | +5.1 |
| 3 | vs Butler | W 45-17 | −1.8 | −1.9 | 0.194 | 3 | +22.1 |
| 4 | at Missouri State | W 28-14 | +0.6 | +1.9 | 0.330 | 2 | +14.8 |
| 5 | vs Western Illinois | W 34-10 | −8.8 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Dakota State · p 0.632
- Wk 8: at North Dakota · p 0.395
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.162
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.420
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.343
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.534
- Wk 15: vs Holy Cross · p 0.598
- Wk 16: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.582
- Wk 16: vs Montana State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 3-7