Montana
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 33% of the time
Power
#6
+13.4 pts · likely #2–31
Strength of schedule
19.4
#116 of 130
Strength of victory
19.4
#35
Record SOS
0.496
Opp. 43.3% · Opp. opp. 62.1%
Remaining SOS
47.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northwestern State | W 47-0 | −8.9 | −1.9 | 0.090 | 4 | +23.6 |
| 2 | vs South Dakota | W 24-7 | −2.2 | −1.9 | 0.187 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | W 49-14 | +0.5 | +1.9 | 0.328 | 2 | +33.5 |
| 4 | vs Portland State | W 53-16 | +1.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.425
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.690
- Wk 9: at Weber State · p 0.609
- Wk 10: vs Cal Poly · p 0.111
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.245
- Wk 12: at Montana State · p 0.629
- Wk 13: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.457
- Wk 14: at North Dakota State · p 0.632