Indiana State
MVFC · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#82
−3.4 pts · likely #49–112
Strength of schedule
40.9
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
13.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 56.3% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
33.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Alabama | W 17-14 OT | −5.6 | −1.9 | 0.131 | 3 | −4.1 |
| 3 | vs Montana | L 14-49 | +10.6 | −1.9 | 0.492 | 2 | −23.5 |
| 5 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-20 | +4.8 | +1.9 | 0.438 | 2 | −0.2 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 26-31 | +13.7 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Youngstown State · p 0.428
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.343
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.604
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.301
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.134
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.225
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 0-56