North Dakota State
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 26% of the time
Power
#10
+11.1 pts · likely #4–41
Strength of schedule
22.9
#104 of 130
Strength of victory
22.9
#28
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 62.0%
Remaining SOS
43.3
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −13.5 | −1.9 | 0.049 | 4 | +19.3 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +1.2 | −1.9 | 0.257 | 2 | +30.7 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | −0.9 | +1.9 | 0.294 | 2 | +16.4 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +5.2 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.503
- Wk 9: vs Illinois State · p 0.343
- Wk 10: at Western Illinois · p 0.134
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.445
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.301
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.590
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.412
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.554
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31