South Dakota State
MVFC · 11-0 vs FCS · 11-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 0.2% of the time
Power
#1
+18.0 pts · likely #1–12
Strength of schedule
39.4
#21 of 130
Strength of victory
39.4
#3
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
63.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs UC Davis | W 24-22 | +15.7 | −2.0 | 0.626 | 1 | +14.7 |
| 3 | vs Butler | W 45-17 | −1.2 | −2.0 | 0.205 | 3 | +25.9 |
| 4 | at Missouri State | W 28-14 | +3.1 | +2.0 | 0.396 | 2 | +18.3 |
| 5 | vs Western Illinois | W 34-10 | −12.1 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Holy Cross · p 0.587
- Wk 16: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.702
- Wk 16: vs Montana State · p 0.628
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 3-7