Missouri State
MVFC · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#47
+2.2 pts · likely #33–78
Strength of schedule
38.8
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
31.3
#13
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 53.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 27-14 | +8.2 | +2.0 | 0.532 | 1 | +20.7 |
| 2 | vs UT Martin | W 35-30 | +6.1 | −2.0 | 0.372 | 2 | +7.5 |
| 4 | vs South Dakota State | L 14-28 | +19.0 | −2.0 | 0.706 | 1 | +1.9 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 31-48 | +5.7 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArkansasFBS · L 27-38