UC Davis
Big Sky · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#7
+14.7 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
41.4
#12 of 130
Strength of victory
22.8
#44
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 59.9% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 22-24 | +19.2 | +2.0 | 0.797 | 1 | +18.1 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 43-13 | −2.3 | −2.0 | 0.183 | 3 | +26.7 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 12-17 | +12.7 | −2.0 | 0.547 | 1 | +4.3 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 24-41 | +14.4 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-34