Montana State
Big Sky · 11-0 vs FCS · 11-1 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 0.9% of the time
Power
#6
+14.9 pts · likely #2–21
Strength of schedule
30.2
#68 of 130
Strength of victory
30.2
#18
Record SOS
0.479
Opp. 45.3% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
71.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −6.2 | −2.0 | 0.121 | 3 | +15.6 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −15.9 | −2.0 | 0.034 | 4 | +19.2 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −5.8 | +2.0 | 0.192 | 3 | −0.2 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +17.4 | −2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.635
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.792
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68