North Dakota State
MVFC · 10-1 vs FCS · 10-2 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 5.9% of the time
Power
#5
+15.4 pts · likely #2–20
Strength of schedule
33.3
#56 of 130
Strength of victory
29.6
#22
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 53.6% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
66.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
6-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −8.7 | −2.0 | 0.090 | 4 | +26.7 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +2.5 | −2.0 | 0.284 | 2 | +33.9 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | −2.4 | +2.0 | 0.261 | 2 | +15.5 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +5.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.547
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.751
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.704
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31