Valparaiso
Pioneer · 4-5 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#100
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#89
−4.3 pts · likely #59–107
Strength of schedule
18.3
#126 of 130
Strength of victory
9.0
#92
Record SOS
0.434
Opp. 42.2% · Opp. opp. 45.7%
Remaining SOS
6.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +2.5 | +1.9 | 0.378 | 2 | −4.0 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | −0.9 | +1.9 | 0.293 | 2 | −19.8 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −1.5 | −1.9 | 0.200 | 3 | +4.6 |
| 6 | at Presbyterian | W 41-21 | −24.1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.060
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17