Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-8 vs FCS · 2-8 overall
Strength of record
#125
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−14.8 pts · likely #109–129
Strength of schedule
26.9
#97 of 130
Strength of victory
0.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.465
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 42.8%
Remaining SOS
18.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +14.7 | +1.9 | 0.696 | 1 | −20.0 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +12.7 | +1.9 | 0.647 | 1 | −20.9 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −11.6 | +1.9 | 0.101 | 3 | −19.2 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −25.1 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.182
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14