Dayton
Pioneer · 7-2 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#84
−3.8 pts · likely #58–107
Strength of schedule
11.8
#130 of 130
Strength of victory
6.4
#94
Record SOS
0.357
Opp. 29.8% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
33.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
6-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −19.4 | +1.9 | 0.036 | 4 | −13.4 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +2.5 | +1.9 | 0.376 | 2 | −27.5 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −11.4 | −1.9 | 0.066 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −3.5 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.335
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3