Mercer
Southern · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#9
+13.1 pts · likely #3–28
Strength of schedule
27.8
#82 of 130
Strength of victory
22.0
#49
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 50.1%
Remaining SOS
62.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −16.2 | −1.9 | 0.033 | 4 | +18.3 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −4.8 | −1.9 | 0.143 | 3 | +10.5 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +8.2 | +1.9 | 0.529 | 1 | +37.7 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −2.4 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Samford · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42