Western Carolina
Southern · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#70
−1.3 pts · likely #45–95
Strength of schedule
30.3
#64 of 130
Strength of victory
15.3
#79
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
51.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 52-38 | −4.3 | +1.9 | 0.218 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 77-21 | −23.3 | −1.9 | 0.010 | 4 | +11.1 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 12-35 | +11.0 | +1.9 | 0.603 | 1 | −9.6 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-17 | −13.0 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.510
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 17-35