Samford
Southern · 9-0 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 2.8% of the time
Power
#17
+11.5 pts · likely #5–35
Strength of schedule
29.7
#70 of 130
Strength of victory
29.7
#16
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 51.8% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
59.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-17 | −0.5 | −1.9 | 0.220 | 3 | +8.0 |
| 3 | at Tennessee Tech | W 33-28 | −3.7 | +1.9 | 0.231 | 3 | +4.1 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 35-12 | −0.3 | −1.9 | 0.225 | 3 | +19.8 |
| 5 | at Furman | W 34-27 | +10.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Mercer · p 0.608
- Wk 14: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.491
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.685
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 0-33