The Citadel
Southern · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#90
−4.7 pts · likely #61–112
Strength of schedule
42.0
#7 of 130
Strength of victory
28.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 60.7% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
7.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | L 10-29 | +4.4 | +1.9 | 0.427 | 2 | −12.7 |
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 20-17 | +0.5 | −1.9 | 0.241 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at Mercer | L 0-17 | +15.3 | +1.9 | 0.711 | 1 | −2.0 |
| 6 | vs Furman | L 10-21 | +9.6 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.079
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 0-49
- Wk 11: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 66-0