Gardner-Webb
Big South · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#39
+4.8 pts · likely #20–68
Strength of schedule
35.1
#34 of 130
Strength of victory
23.2
#40
Record SOS
0.455
Opp. 42.7% · Opp. opp. 51.1%
Remaining SOS
45.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Elon | L 24-30 | +12.3 | +1.9 | 0.638 | 1 | +6.9 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 14-45 | +12.2 | −1.9 | 0.538 | 1 | −19.8 |
| 6 | at Robert Morris | W 48-0 | −16.8 | +1.9 | 0.052 | 4 | +19.6 |
| 8 | at Charleston Southern | W 28-14 | −5.0 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.272
- Wk 13: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.442
- Wk 14: at William & Mary · p 0.650
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LimestoneDII · W 56-21
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 27-31
- Wk 5: at MarshallFBS · L 7-28
- Wk 7: at LibertyFBS · L 20-21