San Diego
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#101
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#65
−0.5 pts · likely #42–93
Strength of schedule
24.5
#108 of 130
Strength of victory
13.6
#85
Record SOS
0.441
Opp. 42.4% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
5.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Cal Poly | L 27-28 | −12.4 | +1.9 | 0.093 | 4 | −11.1 |
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 13-43 | +15.1 | +1.9 | 0.707 | 1 | −12.3 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | L 21-28 | −6.8 | +1.9 | 0.172 | 3 | −9.4 |
| 6 | at Drake | W 22-10 | −11.5 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Morehead State · p 0.055
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs La VerneDIII · W 58-0