UC Davis
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#3
+15.8 pts · likely #2–21
Strength of schedule
37.2
#22 of 130
Strength of victory
23.5
#39
Record SOS
0.539
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 50.2%
Remaining SOS
73.1
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 22-24 | +16.4 | +1.9 | 0.736 | 1 | +15.2 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 43-13 | −1.4 | −1.9 | 0.203 | 3 | +27.6 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 12-17 | +14.4 | −1.9 | 0.595 | 1 | +6.9 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 24-41 | +11.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.731
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-34