Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#76
−2.5 pts · likely #51–101
Strength of schedule
34.5
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
19.8
#55
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
61.9
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Sam Houston | W 10-3 | +3.7 | +1.9 | 0.409 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | L 24-27 | +7.4 | −1.9 | 0.407 | 2 | +1.7 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 10-27 | +12.1 | −1.9 | 0.534 | 1 | −7.4 |
| 5 | at Portland State | L 27-35 | −9.0 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.619
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arizona StateFBS · L 3-40