Portland State
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#104
−7.8 pts · likely #73–120
Strength of schedule
43.1
#5 of 130
Strength of victory
17.4
#63
Record SOS
0.573
Opp. 59.0% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
10.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Montana | L 16-53 | +14.1 | +1.9 | 0.683 | 1 | −19.5 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 35-27 | −0.9 | −1.9 | 0.212 | 3 | +3.7 |
| 7 | vs Weber State | L 7-42 | +13.7 | −1.9 | 0.576 | 1 | −23.1 |
| 8 | at Idaho | L 21-56 | +11.1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.104
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 17-21
- Wk 2: at WashingtonFBS · L 6-52
- Wk 6: vs Lincoln University (CA)DII · W 48-6