Presbyterian
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#108
−8.5 pts · likely #75–117
Strength of schedule
32.0
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
15.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 49.0% · Opp. opp. 39.4%
Remaining SOS
10.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Presbyterian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 3-62 | +9.8 | +2.6 | 0.591 | 1 | −20.7 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | L 14-58 | +9.2 | +2.6 | 0.577 | 1 | −21.5 |
| 4 | at Marist | L 7-42 | −10.4 | +2.6 | 0.127 | 3 | −37.7 |
| 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 55-21 | +3.9 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Stetson · p 0.018
- Wk 8: at Valparaiso · p 0.112
- Wk 9: vs Butler · p 0.204
- Wk 11: at Morehead State · p 0.012
- Wk 12: vs Dayton · p 0.154
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs UVA WiseDII · W 47-37