Marist
Pioneer · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#97
−5.3 pts · likely #59–111
Strength of schedule
13.0
#123 of 128
Strength of victory
7.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.328
Opp. 23.3% · Opp. opp. 51.7%
Remaining SOS
10.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Marist. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Haven | L 21-22 | −12.1 | +2.6 | 0.105 | 3 | −9.7 |
| 2 | at Lafayette | L 9-13 | −1.9 | +2.6 | 0.287 | 2 | −3.3 |
| 4 | vs Presbyterian | W 42-7 | −4.4 | −2.6 | 0.139 | 3 | +23.9 |
| 5 | at Stetson | W 28-14 | −25.1 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Drake · p 0.164
- Wk 8: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.158
- Wk 9: at San Diego · p 0.093
- Wk 10: vs Morehead State · p 0.004
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.204
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.008
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Franklin PierceDII · W 27-18