Mercer
Southern · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#13
+11.7 pts · likely #7–38
Strength of schedule
25.8
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
27.1
#26
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
39.7
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 62-3 | −7.5 | −2.6 | 0.097 | 4 | +23.9 |
| 1 | vs East Texas A&M | W 23-15 | −2.3 | −2.6 | 0.173 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 2 | vs Furman | L 13-20 | −1.2 | −2.6 | 0.193 | 3 | −7.9 |
| 4 | at Abilene Christian | W 34-17 | +9.3 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Samford · p 0.208
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.107
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.533
- Wk 11: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.646
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.490
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia TechFBS · L 11-44