North Dakota
MVFC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#9
+15.7 pts · likely #4–24
Strength of schedule
26.0
#84 of 128
Strength of victory
19.8
#39
Record SOS
0.536
Opp. 55.3% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
70.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Long Island | W 42-21 | −5.6 | −2.6 | 0.121 | 3 | +13.9 |
| 1 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 62-26 | −0.7 | −2.6 | 0.202 | 3 | +29.7 |
| 2 | at Portland State | W 47-23 | −0.6 | +2.6 | 0.319 | 2 | +24.2 |
| 4 | at Indiana State | W 42-35 | −1.4 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.755
- Wk 8: at South Dakota · p 0.829
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.886
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.615
- Wk 12: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.456
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at NebraskaFBS · L 7-34