Portland State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#78
−2.4 pts · likely #44–105
Strength of schedule
38.8
#31 of 128
Strength of victory
27.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 58.8% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
51.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 24-31 | +8.4 | −2.6 | 0.413 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota | L 23-47 | +14.8 | −2.6 | 0.586 | 1 | −10.9 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 44-41 | +5.2 | +2.6 | 0.468 | 2 | +9.0 |
| 6 | vs Utah Tech | W 30-14 | −8.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Northern Arizona · p 0.625
- Wk 8: at Idaho State · p 0.508
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.298
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.811
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.353
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.462
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 20-53
- Wk 3: at OregonFBS · L 0-84