Indiana State
MVFC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#70
−0.8 pts · likely #38–97
Strength of schedule
47.4
#10 of 128
Strength of victory
17.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 45.3%
Remaining SOS
54.6
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-23 | +2.8 | −2.6 | 0.275 | 2 | −1.7 |
| 2 | at Eastern Illinois | W 42-35 | −2.5 | +2.6 | 0.273 | 2 | +6.0 |
| 3 | vs Valparaiso | W 39-16 | −9.9 | −2.6 | 0.072 | 4 | +9.2 |
| 4 | vs North Dakota | L 35-42 | +17.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Illinois State · p 0.742
- Wk 9: at Northern Iowa · p 0.624
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.456
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.054
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.852
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at PurdueFBS · L 19-44