Eastern Illinois
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#86
−3.5 pts · likely #50–105
Strength of schedule
45.5
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
28.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.504
Opp. 47.3% · Opp. opp. 56.6%
Remaining SOS
21.6
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Murray State | W 28-14 | −10.3 | +2.6 | 0.129 | 3 | +5.0 |
| 2 | vs Indiana State | L 35-42 | −1.3 | −2.6 | 0.190 | 3 | −10.4 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 13-49 | +13.2 | +2.6 | 0.678 | 1 | −17.1 |
| 4 | at South Dakota State | L 7-42 | +20.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Lindenwood · p 0.212
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.280
- Wk 9: at UT Martin · p 0.341
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.137
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.122
- Wk 12: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.207
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MinnesotaFBS · L 7-59