Gardner-Webb
OVC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#64
+0.1 pts · likely #35–94
Strength of schedule
34.0
#49 of 128
Strength of victory
24.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 51.3% · Opp. opp. 44.0%
Remaining SOS
25.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Austin Peay | L 17-35 | +11.7 | +2.6 | 0.641 | 1 | −3.4 |
| 1 | at Wofford | L 13-17 | +5.6 | +2.6 | 0.479 | 2 | +3.6 |
| 3 | vs North Carolina Central | W 44-20 | −4.2 | −2.6 | 0.141 | 3 | +15.1 |
| 5 | at Charleston Southern | W 12-10 | +0.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at UT Martin · p 0.341
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.411
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.212
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.230
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.064
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LibertyFBS · L 23-24
- Wk 4: at MarshallFBS · L 35-36