Austin Peay
UAC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#12
+12.0 pts · likely #8–36
Strength of schedule
25.6
#87 of 128
Strength of victory
19.4
#41
Record SOS
0.502
Opp. 51.9% · Opp. opp. 46.8%
Remaining SOS
31.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 35-17 | +1.1 | −2.6 | 0.238 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-7 | −28.6 | −2.6 | 0.003 | 4 | +5.6 |
| 3 | at West Florida | W 38-16 | +3.0 | +2.6 | 0.410 | 2 | +24.0 |
| 4 | vs UT Martin | W 35-12 | +2.2 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at West Georgia · p 0.343
- Wk 8: at North Alabama · p 0.390
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.222
- Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.373
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.246
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 9-28