Tarleton State
UAC · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-0 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 16% of the time
Power
#8
+16.0 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
25.3
#91 of 128
Strength of victory
25.3
#31
Record SOS
0.498
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 60.1%
Remaining SOS
30.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | −3.6 | −2.6 | 0.150 | 3 | +12.5 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | −1.0 | +2.6 | 0.308 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 3 | vs Merrimack | W 45-20 | −6.8 | −2.6 | 0.105 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 5 | vs Chicago State | W 56-21 | −19.6 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.149
- Wk 8: at West Georgia · p 0.343
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.222
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.373
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.345
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.390
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13