Chicago State
FCS Indep. · 0-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−18.0 pts · likely #110–125
Strength of schedule
35.3
#43 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 32.2%
Remaining SOS
33.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chicago State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | L 7-42 | −2.5 | +2.6 | 0.273 | 2 | −31.4 |
| 3 | at Butler | L 20-47 | −1.9 | +2.6 | 0.288 | 2 | −24.5 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 20-43 | −6.4 | −2.6 | 0.110 | 3 | −29.5 |
| 5 | at Tarleton State | L 21-56 | +15.9 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.183
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.329
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.492
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs RooseveltDII · L 28-44
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 78-7