Butler
Pioneer · 3-1 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#65
−0.1 pts · likely #32–97
Strength of schedule
24.7
#96 of 128
Strength of victory
6.4
#48
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
14.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana State | L 24-51 | +18.4 | +2.6 | 0.794 | 1 | −5.2 |
| 3 | vs Chicago State | W 47-20 | −17.8 | −2.6 | 0.023 | 4 | +6.5 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 33-28 | −12.2 | +2.6 | 0.104 | 3 | −3.6 |
| 6 | vs San Diego | W 41-10 | −10.5 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Dayton · p 0.154
- Wk 8: at Drake · p 0.164
- Wk 9: at Presbyterian · p 0.140
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.158
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.218
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.004
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Georgetown (KY)Non-NCAA · W 27-23
- Wk 2: vs FranklinDIII · W 52-0