San Diego
Pioneer · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−12.3 pts · likely #94–121
Strength of schedule
28.3
#73 of 128
Strength of victory
24.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 56.9% · Opp. opp. 39.3%
Remaining SOS
12.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 17-49 | +5.7 | −2.6 | 0.344 | 2 | −26.5 |
| 2 | at Idaho State | L 17-59 | +4.4 | +2.6 | 0.447 | 2 | −25.8 |
| 3 | at Cal Poly | W 38-35 | +5.7 | +2.6 | 0.482 | 2 | +7.9 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 17-50 | −6.9 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Valparaiso · p 0.058
- Wk 8: at Dayton · p 0.253
- Wk 9: vs Marist · p 0.128
- Wk 10: at Drake · p 0.164
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.007