West Florida
UAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 60% of the time
Power
#68
−0.6 pts · likely #37–97
Strength of schedule
44.4
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
44.2
#3
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 57.7% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
42.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against West Florida. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 42-14 | +1.8 | +2.6 | 0.379 | 2 | +27.4 |
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +11.5 | −2.6 | 0.498 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | L 16-38 | +10.1 | −2.6 | 0.459 | 2 | −12.6 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 20-17 | +4.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.342
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.390
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.605
- Wk 12: at West Georgia · p 0.343